Process of Elimination - The 2024 Season In Order (40 Viewers)

[Artifactual]

The process of elimination for the postseason is under way and began this week, week 13. A running total for 2024 NFL season will follow.

1. NYG - Week 13
2. LVR - Week 13
3. JAX - Week 13
4. NE - Week 13

 

[SaintsMan209]

man waht does this mean what a waste!!

 

[Artifactual]

Giants 1st to be eliminated - Week 13

Raiders 2nd to be eliminated - Week 13

All sites including NFL.Com say the Raiders have been officially eliminated.

The Chargers are currently the 6th seed with a 7-4 record and the Broncos are the 7th seed with a 7-5 record.

While it's possible for either the Chargers or the Broncos to lose out and finish with only 7 wins and the Raiders could win out and finish with 7 wins, the Raiders would lose out to both the Chargers and the Broncos in a Tiebreaker based on win/losses within the division.

Therefore, the Raiders have been officially eliminated from the playoffs for the 2024 season.

 

[Broad St. Saint]

Y'know, a lotta people say "make the playoffs." Which makes it like there are 7 playoff spots, and you've got one. Like a golden ticket in Charlie and the Chocolate Factory (except more earned not random).

But maybe it's better to think about it Artifactual's way. Teams are eliminated until the season's end. If you've not been eliminated, you win a spot in the playoffs. Like musical chairs. Or the Hunger Games.

 

[ELLIASJWILLIAMS]

Y'know, a lotta people say "make the playoffs." Which makes it like there are 7 playoff spots, and you've got one. Like a golden ticket in Charlie and the Chocolate Factory (except more earned not random).

But maybe it's better to think about it Artifactual's way. Teams are eliminated until the season's end. If you've not been eliminated, you win a spot in the playoffs. Like musical chairs. Or the Hunger Games.

Yeah, a suspect division is keeping us a float, and the NFC in general appears top heavy.

 

[LUX]

Where there's a will, there's a way! Any given week, anything can happen!

 

[Artifactual]

1. NYG - Week 13
2. LVR - Week 13
3. JAX - Week 13
4. NE - Week 13

 

[Winter]

Teams that are unofficially on that list: Panthers, Saints, 49ers, Cowboys, Bears, Jets, Browns, Titans, Bengals. Some of these teams will be on the list by week's end. We will hang around for a few more weeks because of the division.

So you could argue 11 teams are left fighting for the 7 spots in the NFC. Eagles, Lions, Vikings are all pretty much a lock. The North could take 2 of the wildcards leaving 1 to fight over and division races in the South & West. I think that 3rd wildcard will go to an 11 win team which the Commanders are most likely to do.

 

[Artifactual]

Several teams will be added to the list at the conclusion of Week 14. However, today they all still have a chance, as slim as it may be.

Example: After the Browns loss last night it's impossible for them to win the AFC North. The Browns must win their final 5 games to have even the slightest chance of making the playoffs as a Wildcard. They currently have less than a 1% chance.

Now 3-9 with 5 games to play should they win out the best record they could finish with is 8-9. Steelers already have 9 wins.

They can't make it as a Wildcard over LAC or DEN. They lost head to head against both. Both already have 8 wins.

However, if the Ravens lose out and the Browns win out both teams would finish with 8 wins and the Browns would have swept the Ravens. Browns win the tiebreaker for the 7th seed over the Ravens in that scenario. They would also leapfrog the Bengals due to a better division record if the Bengals also finish with 8 wins which would be the most they could have should the Browns win out.

Miami would have to lose at least 2 of their remaining games including their Week 17 matchup with the Browns. In that case the Dolphins would finish with 8 wins but lose the head to head tiebreaker to the Browns.

All 5 of the Browns remaining games are against AFC opponents. They currently have 3 conference wins. Winning out would give the Browns 8 conference wins.

The Colts currently have a 6-7 record. They have a Bye this week. They only have 4 games remaining. They currently have 5 wins in conference. Their remaining games include 3 AFC teams. If the Colts lose 2 or more of their remaining games the Browns would win the tiebreaker based on a better conference record.

Browns will be eliminated with any of the following:

1. A Browns loss or tie.
2. A Ravens win or tie.
3. Colts winning 3 more games or at least 2 games and one tie.
4. Miami winning 4 more games finishing with 9 wins.
5. Bengals win out.

Browns remaining schedule:
@PITT, KC, @CIN, MIA, @BAL

This explains the Longshot odds for the Browns to make the playoffs.

Several other teams face similar long odds.
1. Titans <1%
2. Browns <1%
3. Panthers <1%
4. Bears <1%
5. Jets <1%
6. Saints <1%
7. Bengals <2%
8. Cowboys 4%

 

[RaginCajun83]

Several teams will be added to the list at the conclusion of Week 14. However, today they all still have a chance, as slim as it may be.

Example: After the Browns loss last night it's impossible for them to win the AFC North. The Browns must win their final 5 games to have even the slightest chance of making the playoffs as a Wildcard. They currently have less than a 1% chance.

Now 3-9 with 5 games to play should they win out the best record they could finish with is 8-9. Steelers already have 9 wins.

They can't make it as a Wildcard over LAC or DEN. They lost head to head against both. Both already have 8 wins.

However, if the Ravens lose out and the Browns win out both teams would finish with 8 wins and the Browns would have swept the Ravens. Browns win the tiebreaker for the 7th seed over the Ravens in that scenario. They would also leapfrog the Bengals due to a better division record if the Bengals also finish with 8 wins which would be the most they could have should the Browns win out.

Miami would have to lose at least 2 of their remaining games including their Week 17 matchup with the Browns. In that case the Dolphins would finish with 8 wins but lose the head to head tiebreaker to the Browns.

All 5 of the Browns remaining games are against AFC opponents. They currently have 3 conference wins. Winning out would give the Browns 8 conference wins.

The Colts currently have a 6-7 record. They have a Bye this week. They only have 4 games remaining. They currently have 5 wins in conference. Their remaining games include 3 AFC teams. If the Colts lose 2 or more of their remaining games the Browns would win the tiebreaker based on a better conference record.

Browns will be eliminated with any of the following:

1. A Browns loss or tie.
2. A Ravens win or tie.
3. Colts winning 3 more games or at least 2 games and one tie.
4. Miami winning 4 more games finishing with 9 wins.
5. Bengals win out.

Browns remaining schedule:
@PITT, KC, @CIN, MIA, @BAL

This explains the Longshot odds for the Browns to make the playoffs.

Several other teams face similar long odds.
1. Titans <1%
2. Browns <1%
3. Panthers <1%
4. Bears <1%
5. Jets <1%
6. Saints <1%
7. Bengals <2%
8. Cowboys 4%

My brain hurts plus I was told there would be no math