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Not my number, though it looks about right given Atlanta's incredible record at home.
For the win probabilities for each game this week, go to the always fascinating Fifth Down NFL Blog on the New York Times website featuring statistical analysis by Brian Burke, who does Advanced NFL Statistics.
And comparing the two teams statistically, the one glaring number is turnovers. We are a minus five with net turnovers, and sit in the bottom third of the league. Drew's 19 interceptions hurt--and we have surprisingly only nine interceptions this year. The Falcons are a plus 13 in net turnovers. That is a differential of 18 turnovers.
For the win probabilities for each game this week, go to the always fascinating Fifth Down NFL Blog on the New York Times website featuring statistical analysis by Brian Burke, who does Advanced NFL Statistics.
And comparing the two teams statistically, the one glaring number is turnovers. We are a minus five with net turnovers, and sit in the bottom third of the league. Drew's 19 interceptions hurt--and we have surprisingly only nine interceptions this year. The Falcons are a plus 13 in net turnovers. That is a differential of 18 turnovers.