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I'm going free throw
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The average guy on the street would have a 33% chance of making a free throw. Some more, some less.
Soccer penalty kick with a good goalie? 20% at most.
The field goal seems easy, but probably is not in reality. 20%
A 6-foot putt would be the least likely. 10%
ages ago, someone here posted a video of a college coach after practice having all the non kickers attempt a 30 yard field goalThe field goal seems easy, but probably is not in reality. 20%