Best Realistic Scenario on How to Actually Have a 2020 NFL Season - Washington Post (1 Viewer)

[Saint Spud]

The most important step is getting almost unlimited testing. Because there's no world in which anyone will accept tons of tests for players if there aren't enough tests for people who at symptomatic.

The next most important step would be having all team personnel agree to quarantining in their own home cities.

With that said, IF that happens, I'm not sure you need the mandatory 14-day quarantine every time teams travel assuming they're quarantined while in their home cities.

Sure, they would need private planes which are 100% sanitized. But having NFL teams travel from city to city is a bit different than having people in the general population who haven't agreed to quarantining fly commercial.

It's doable, as Dr. Fauci said a couple weeks ago. But it requires a ton of cooperation and sacrifice above and beyond the normal from all those involved in the league.

 

[St. Widge]

what happened with everyone's avatars?

I suspect the load of traffic for the draft forced the admins to disable avatars that are linked from outside sources which leaves those that have already been downloaded. But I could be wrong about that.

 

[St. Widge]

Abbreviated season of eight or nine games that starts late, a bit like the 1982 strike season. It’s either that or play in empty stadiums.

I think that at this point, it's almost impossible to imagine a season that is not played in empty stadiums no matter when they start.

 

[St. Widge]

Herd immunity. Protect anyone from it with underlying conditions or of old age.

The death rate would be considerably less than 0.1% for the remainder of US citizens (which is the approximate death rate of the standard flu).

1 million reportedly infected, 50K deaths.

We are more likely at 20 million infected and 45K of that 50K are people in that vulnerable group I mentioned.

So 5K deaths for possibly 20 million infected for otherwise healthy people. About 1/4 of 1/10th of a percent.

Going overboard and sending us into a 1930s style depression makes absolutely no sense whatsoever. You want to talk about never returning back to normal. Wait until you are stuck in a bread line that stretches for several city blocks. You certainly won't be wondering what your favorite football team's next move is.

They tried that in the U.K. it overwhelmed their health care system so they changed course to social distancing and stay at home orders just like us. Social Distancing without or with stay at home orders are going to be the new normal until we develop a vaccine.

 

[Rdanderson91]

They’ll start pay-per-viewing the games

 

[St. Widge]

The most important step is getting almost unlimited testing. Because there's no world in which anyone will accept tons of tests for players if there aren't enough tests for people who at symptomatic.

The next most important step would be having all team personnel agree to quarantining in their own home cities.

With that said, IF that happens, I'm not sure you need the mandatory 14-day quarantine every time teams travel assuming they're quarantined while in their home cities.

Sure, they would need private planes which are 100% sanitized. But having NFL teams travel from city to city is a bit different than having people in the general population who haven't agreed to quarantining fly commercial.

It's doable, as Dr. Fauci said a couple weeks ago. But it requires a ton of cooperation and sacrifice above and beyond the normal from all those involved in the league.

Yeah, I'm pretty sure that all teams fly chartered flights to games anyway so it would only require the additional step of sanitizing the plane before they fly. Which is likely being done to planes now anyway. Being able to test everyone on each team would also really help, but we don't have enough tests to test the rest of the population and resart the economy so I don't see that ending up being an option. I also think the idea of guys playing in masks is not going to be practical. Masks limit your oxygen intake when worn. That doesn't work well with playing football.

 

[Saint Jack]

They’ll start pay-per-viewing the games

Never happen. CBS, FOX, NBC, and Disney pay too much.

 

[Saint Spud]

Yeah, I'm pretty sure that all teams fly chartered flights to games anyway so it would only require the additional step of sanitizing the plane before they fly. Which is likely being done to planes now anyway. Being able to test everyone on each team would also really help, but we don't have enough tests to test the rest of the population and resart the economy so I don't see that ending up being an option. I also think the idea of guys playing in masks is not going to be practical. Masks limit your oxygen intake when worn. That doesn't work well with playing football.

Agree on playing in masks. not going to happen. That's why the testing will be instrumental.

As far as testing, this is four+ months away (3+ for training camp). My guess is that between now and then, they'll procure enough tests to make it work.

 

[St. Widge]

Never happen. CBS, FOX, NBC, and Disney pay too much.

Yep and they lose all that money if they don't have a season. Apparently only 15% of NFL teams' operating budget comes from ticket and game day sales. The rest is the TV deal and merchandise sales. They can survive without fans in seats, but they can't survive without that TV revenue.

 

[St. Widge]

Agree on playing in masks. not going to happen. That's why the testing will be instrumental.

As far as testing, this is four+ months away (3+ for training camp). My guess is that between now and then, they'll procure enough tests to make it work.

I hope you are right and that we have fast tests to not only test NFL players but the rest of us too.

 

[PuddinheadSr]

That still won’t work. A vaccine will not be ready in time. They need a test with near immediate results. Supposedly they are working on tests where they get results w/in 15 mins. Test everyone associated with the game on gameday. No fans, unfortunately.

I fear this is the most realistic take. You can say you're "re-opening" the games, but without an expectation of near universal vaccination there's no way I'm spending four hours or so butt cheek to butt cheek with 65,000 strangers.

 

[St. PreDATor]

Bakersfield doctors dispute need for stay-at-home order

Doctors Dan Erickson and Artin Massihi of Accelerated Urgent Care are calling for the county to reopen despite the on-going COVID-19 pandemic. The two held a press conference Wednesday, during which, they talked about the coronavirus pandemic both at the state and local level. During the...

bakersfieldnow.com

Need to open her back up and quit fearmongering.

Haha that’s my City!!!

 

[GrandAdmiral]

They'll also have to procure the right tests and continue developing new means of testing. I'm sure players won't like the idea of having swabs stuck up their noses on a regular bases as this is the most common test available right now.

 

[Saintsphere]

Reading that, I'd almost rather just not have a season till Fall 2021 tbh. Freeze everyone's contract. Only thing that would be affected is do they do have a 2021 Draft.

I know there's going to be a season...but the thought of Brees' last season in empty stadiums with only 10 possible games played doesn't excite me. The on field football performance from all teams will probably suffer too. Winning a Super Bowl wouldn't feel the same to me. To others they'll prob enjoy it and that's fine, but I'd be pretty unenthused about it.

 

[State Of Affairs]

Herd immunity. Protect anyone from it with underlying conditions or of old age.

The death rate would be considerably less than 0.1% for the remainder of US citizens (which is the approximate death rate of the standard flu).

1 million reportedly infected, 50K deaths.

We are more likely at 20 million infected and 45K of that 50K are people in that vulnerable group I mentioned.

So 5K deaths for possibly 20 million infected for otherwise healthy people. About 1/4 of 1/10th of a percent.

Going overboard and sending us into a 1930s style depression makes absolutely no sense whatsoever. You want to talk about never returning back to normal. Wait until you are stuck in a bread line that stretches for several city blocks. You certainly won't be wondering what your favorite football team's next move is.