Physical traits, speed, agility, explosiveness attributes of Top WRs (What's the formula?) (1 Viewer)

harschman

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Wide Receivers are constantly a hot topic on here. While doing some research I stumbled on an article from 2012 detailing using some physical attributes to determine NFL success as it pertains to predict top 25 WR in points per reception fantasy leagues. He was attempting to find something that worked for both fantasy sports and real life after all, the fantasy sports are based on real life stats and production.


I decided to delve into these questions by looking at what seems to be one of the most difficult positions to predict for fantasy players and NFL teams – the wide receiver. My goal was to figure out what measurements mean the most and see if there were any trends that might help us increase our odds of getting that next big receiver and lessen the chances of drafting yet another wide receiver bust.
The author took the top 25 WRs for a PPR league and determined the following as physical attributes, then averaged them and awarded a point if the player was above the average, deducted a point for incoming rookies below the minimum and added a bonus point for a player drafted in the 1st round. Round drafted was the only non-physical attribute calculated.
  • Height
  • Relative Body Size (pounds per inch)
  • Hand size
  • 40 yard dash time
  • Vertical Leap
  • Broad Jump
  • 20 yard shuttle
  • 3 cone drill
  • Round Draft (non-physical stat)
According to his research the incoming 2012 class top rated WRs using this formula was Alshon Jeffrey and AJ Jenkins, both with a score of 7. Previous years had Julio Jones and Calvin Johnson with 10s, AJ Green and Larry Fitzgerald with 8s, Marques Colston was a 3. TY Hilton from the 2012 class was a -3 as he had quite a few deficiencies. The thought is you can overcome a deficiency if you are strong in another area whereas multiple deficiencies are more difficult to overcome.

I took this calculation add applied it to the top 25 reception leaders from the 2019 season while factoring in Tyreek Hill, so 26 players were averaged.

2019 Averages:
Height: 72.5 inches
Relative Body Size: 2.82 pounds
Hand Size: 9.53 inches
40 Yard Dash Time: 4.49 seconds
Vertical Leap: 36.27 inches
Broad Jump: 122.35 inches
20 Yard Shuttle: 4.18 seconds
3 Cone Drill: 6.87 seconds
Round Drafted: 2.5


2019 Minimums:
Height: 68 inches
Relative Body Size: 2.56
Hand Size: 8.5
40 Yard Dash Time: 4.65 seconds
Vertical Leap: 28.5 inches
Broad Jump: 110 inches
20 Yard Shuttle: 4.5 seconds
3 Cone Drill: 7.17 seconds
Round Drafted: UDFA

Below is how each WR scored. 8/25 1st round selections, 9/25 2nd round selections, 5/25 3rd round and only 3/25 were 4th round or later selections with 1 being a UDFA.

2019 Receptions Leaders:
Michael Thomas: 7 (largest hands at 10.5 inches)
Keenan Allen: 2 (missing vertical, broad jump, 20 yard shuttle and 3 cone)
DeAndre Hopkins: 6 (missing 3 cone, was the minimum or slowest on 20 yard shuttle at 4.5 seconds)
Julian Edelman: 5 (fastest 20 yard shuttle time)
Julio Jones: 9 (slower than the average on the 20 yard shuttle)
Allen Robinson: 6
Cooper Kupp: 3
Tyler Boyd: 3
Robert Woods: 1
DJ Moore: 8
Chris Godwin: 6
Davante Adams: 6
Jarvis Landry: 3 (mins on 40, vert, broad and missing data for 20 yard shuttle and 3 cone drill)
Tyler Lockett: 3
Amari Cooper: 8
Jamison Crowder: 1 (mins on height and 3 cone drill)
Larry Fitzgerald: 6 (10.5 inch hands, missing vert, broad, 20 yard shuttle and 3 cone)
Odell Beckham: 8
DJ Chark: 5 (3rd fastest 40 and 2nd highest vertical, missing data on 20 yard shuttle and 3 cone drill)
John Brown: 3 (minimum on relative body size)
DeVante Parker: 5 (missing data on 20 yard shuttle and 3 cone drill)
Courtland Sutton: 7
Christian Kirk: 4
Cole Beasley: 3 (missing hand size, minimums on height and relative body size)
Mike Evans: 6
Tyreke Hill: 4 (min on height, fastest 40, highest vertical, quickest 3 cone and below min hand size)

3 Rookies from 2019 class:
Deebo Samuel: 6 (10 inch hands)
AJ Brown: 5
DK Metcalf: 7 (fast 40 and min on 20 yard shuttle)

Current Saints:
Michael Thomas: 7
(largest hands at 10.5 inches)
TreQuan Smith: 6 (.03 off hand size from being average)
Keith Kirkwood: 2 (.01 off from 40 average, .03 off from hand size average, .02 off from relative body size average, 81 inch wing span)
Krishawn Hogan: 6 (.03 off from 20 yard shuttle average)
Lil’Jordan Humphrey: 1 (below minimum for 40 time)
Emmanuel Butler: 1 (10 inch hands, below min for 40 time, 20 yard shuttle and 3 cone) 20 yard shuttle is only .02 below the minimum.
Deonte Harris: 3 (below minimum for height)
Maurice Harris: 1 (below minimum for broad jump)
Tommylee Lewis: -2 (below minimum for hand size and height)
Alvin Kamara: 3 (calculated him just for reference to WRs)

I had planned to hold off and post after the combine and pro days, but there are some WRs who are already jumping out with limited data. The 40 times I have found are all estimated or from their recruiting numbers. A few WRs have had their hand size measured during recruiting. The numbers below are just based on height, weight, project 40 and if their hand size is available. No bonus points have been awarded for projected round drafted. These guys have a pretty good head start before being measured/timed.

Laviska Shenault Jr.: 3
Gabriel Davis: 3
Brandon Aiyuk: 3 (10 inch hands)
Chase Claypool: 4 (10 inch hands)
Antonio Gandy-Golden: 3
Donovan Peoples-Jones: 3
Tyrie Cleveland: 3
James Proche: 3
Austin Mack: 3 (10 inch hands)

Using this data and applying it to our current wide receivers and the roles they look to fill based on previous opportunities I project the following WRs making the 2020 roster leaving potentially 2 open positions to be filled through FA, trade, draft or UDFA.

Michael Thomas (Obvious lock, best in the game)
TreQuan Smith (Lock)
Keith Kirkwood
Krishawn Hogan
Deonte Harris

I took his thoughts from 2012 and applied them to current WRs to see how it would hold up. Overall, the top WRs based on receptions are above average in many of the attributes, have few if any deficiencies and are drafted in the top 3 rounds. However, as in the article this was just used to compare and project top WRs, the NFL is loaded with guys who are not at the top and perform for their respective team. This does not account for being able to catch, play football, run routes, learn a playbook, stay out of trouble, health, etc.
 
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harschman

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2016 Top 10 WRs in receptions average physical attributes.

RankNameRoundRecYardsHeightWeightRBSHand Size40 TimeVerticalBroad Jump20 Yd Shuttle3 Cone DrillScore
1​
Larry Fitzgerald
1​
107​
1023​
75​
225​
3.00​
10.5​
4.48​
38​
4.28​
6.94​
8​
2​
Antonio Brown
6​
106​
1284​
70​
186​
2.66​
9​
4.56​
33.5​
105​
4.18​
6.98​
1​
3​
Odell Beckham
1​
101​
1367​
71​
198​
2.79​
10​
4.38​
38.5​
122​
3.94​
6.69​
8​
4​
Julian Edelman
7​
98​
1106​
70​
198​
2.83​
9​
4.52​
36.5​
123​
3.92​
6.62​
5​
5​
Jordy Nelson
2​
97​
1257​
75​
217​
2.89​
10​
4.51​
31​
123​
4.35​
7.03​
4​
6​
Mike Evans
1​
96​
1321​
77​
231​
3.00​
9.63​
4.53​
37​
4.26​
7.08​
6​
7​
Doug BaldwinUDFA
94​
1128​
69​
189​
2.74​
4.47​
37​
123​
4.26​
6.65​
4​
8​
Jarvis Landry
2​
94​
1136​
71.5​
205​
2.87​
10.25​
4.58​
28.5​
110​
4.57​
7.55​
4​
9​
Michael Thomas
2​
92​
1137​
75​
212​
2.83​
10.5​
4.57​
35​
126​
4.13​
6.8​
8​
10​
TY Hilton
3​
91​
1448​
70​
183​
2.61​
8.5​
4.34​
35.5​
119​
4.36​
7.03​
2​
2016 Averages
2.78​
97.60​
1220.70​
72.35​
204.40​
2.82​
9.71​
4.49​
35.05​
118.88​
4.23​
6.94​
5.00​
2016 MinimumsUDFA
69​
183​
2.61​
8.5​
4.58​
28.5​
105​
4.57​
7.55​
1​
 
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harschman

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2015 Top 10 WRs in receptions average physical attributes.

RankNameRoundRecYardsHeightWeightRBSHand Size40 TimeVerticalBroad Jump20 Yd Shuttle3 Cone DrillScore
1​
Antonio Brown
6​
136​
1834​
70​
186​
2.66​
9​
4.56​
33.5​
105​
4.18​
6.98​
2​
2​
Julio Jones
1​
136​
1871​
75​
220​
2.93​
9.75​
4.34​
38.5​
135​
4.25​
6.66​
10​
3​
DeAndre Hopkins
1​
111​
1521​
73​
214​
2.93​
10.08​
4.57​
36​
115​
4.5​
4​
4​
Jarvis Landry
2​
110​
1157​
71.5​
205​
2.87​
10.25​
4.58​
28.5​
110​
4.57​
7.55​
2​
5​
Larry Fitzgerald
1​
109​
1215​
75​
225​
3.00​
10.5​
4.48​
38​
4.28​
6.94​
8​
6​
Brandon Marshall
4​
109​
1502​
77​
232​
3.01​
8.88​
4.52​
37​
120​
4.31​
6.96​
4​
7​
Demaryius Thomas
1​
105​
1304​
75.25​
224​
2.98​
10.5​
4.38​
8​
Odell Beckham
1​
96​
1450​
71​
198​
2.79​
10​
4.38​
38.5​
122​
3.94​
6.69​
8​
9​
Golden Tate
2​
90​
813​
70​
199​
2.84​
9.25​
4.42​
35​
120​
4.34​
7.12​
2​
10​
Calvin Johnson
1​
88​
1214​
77​
237​
3.08​
9.75​
4.39​
42.5​
139​
8​
2015 Averages
2.00​
109.00​
1388.10​
73.48​
214.00​
2.91​
9.80​
4.46​
36.39​
120.75​
4.30​
6.99​
5.33​
2015 Minimums
6​
70​
186​
2.66​
8.88​
4.58​
28.5​
105​
4.57​
7.55​
2​
 
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harschman

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2014 Top 10 WRs in receptions average physical attributes.

RankNameRoundRecYardsHeightWeightRBSHand Size40 TimeVerticalBroad Jump20 Yd Shuttle3 Cone DrillScore
1​
Antonio Brown
6​
129​
1698​
70​
186​
2.66​
9​
4.56​
33.5​
105​
4.18​
6.98​
1​
2​
Demaryius Thomas
1​
111​
1619​
75.25​
224​
2.98​
10.5​
4.38​
6​
3​
Julio Jones
1​
104​
1593​
75​
220​
2.93​
9.75​
4.34​
38.5​
135​
4.25​
6.66​
9​
4​
Emmanuel Sanders
3​
101​
1404​
71​
186​
2.62​
9.25​
4.4​
39.5​
126​
4.1​
6.64​
5​
5​
Golden Tate
2​
99​
1331​
70​
199​
2.84​
9.25​
4.42​
35​
120​
4.34​
7.12​
3​
6​
Jordy Nelson
2​
98​
1519​
75​
217​
2.89​
10​
4.51​
31​
123​
4.35​
7.03​
4​
7​
Julian Edelman
7​
92​
972​
70​
198​
2.83​
9​
4.52​
36.5​
123​
3.92​
6.62​
5​
8​
Odell Beckham
1​
91​
1305​
71​
198​
2.79​
10​
4.38​
38.5​
122​
3.94​
6.69​
8​
9​
Randall Cobb
2​
91​
1287​
70​
191​
2.73​
9.375​
4.46​
33.5​
115​
4.34​
7.08​
2​
10​
Dez Bryant
1​
88​
1320​
74​
220​
2.97​
9.75​
4.52​
38​
133​
4.48​
7.21​
7​
2014 Averages
2.60​
100.40​
1404.80​
72.13​
203.90​
2.82​
9.59​
4.45​
36.00​
122.44​
4.21​
6.89​
5.00​
2014 Minimums
7​
70​
186​
2.62​
9​
4.56​
31​
105​
4.48​
7.21​
1​
 
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harschman

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2013 Top 10 WRs in receptions average physical attributes.

RankNameRoundRecYardsHeightWeightRBSHand Size40 TimeVerticalBroad Jump20 Yd Shuttle3 Cone DrillScore
1​
Pierre Garcon
6​
113​
1346​
72​
211​
2.93​
9.5​
4.42​
36.5​
125​
4.19​
6.9​
6​
2​
Antonio Brown
6​
110​
1499​
70​
186​
2.66​
9​
4.56​
33.5​
105​
4.18​
6.98​
1​
3​
Andre Johnson
1​
109​
1407​
75​
229​
3.05​
9.13​
4.41​
39​
132​
4.1​
7​
4​
Julian Edelman
7​
105​
1056​
70​
198​
2.83​
9​
4.52​
36.5​
123​
3.92​
6.62​
3​
5​
Brandon Marshall
4​
100​
1295​
77​
232​
3.01​
8.88​
4.52​
37​
120​
4.31​
6.96​
3​
6​
AJ Green
1​
98​
1426​
76​
210​
2.76​
9.25​
4.48​
34.5​
126​
4.21​
6.91​
5​
7​
Kendall Wright
1​
94​
1079​
70​
185​
2.64​
8.625​
4.49​
38.5​
121​
4.18​
6.93​
4​
8​
Dez Bryant
1​
93​
1233​
74​
220​
2.97​
9.75​
4.52​
38​
133​
4.48​
7.21​
7​
9​
Demaryius Thomas
1​
92​
1430​
75.25​
224​
2.98​
10.5​
4.38​
6​
10​
Alshon Jeffrey
2​
89​
1421​
75​
218​
2.91​
10.25​
4.48​
36.5​
122​
4.17​
6.71​
7​
2013 Averages
3.00​
100.30​
1319.20​
73.43​
211.30​
2.87​
9.39​
4.48​
36.67​
123.00​
4.19​
6.90​
4.90​
2013 Minimums
7​
70​
174​
2.64​
8.625​
4.56​
33.5​
105​
4.48​
7.21​
1​
 
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harschman

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2012 Top 10 WRs in receptions average physical attributes.

RankNameRoundRecYardsHeightWeightRBSHand Size40 TimeVerticalBroad Jump20 Yd Shuttle3 Cone DrillScore
1​
Calvin Johnson
1​
122​
1964​
77​
237​
3.08​
9.75​
4.39​
42.5​
139​
8​
2​
Brandon Marshall
4​
118​
1508​
77​
232​
3.01​
8.88​
4.52​
37​
120​
4.31​
6.96​
3​
3​
Wes WelkerUDFA
118​
1354​
68.75​
195​
2.84​
9​
4.65​
30​
113​
4.01​
7.09​
1​
4​
Andre Johnson
1​
112​
1598​
75​
229​
3.05​
9.13​
4.41​
39​
132​
4.1​
8​
5​
Reggie Wayne
1​
106​
1355​
73​
203​
2.78​
9​
4.45​
36​
4​
6​
AJ Green
1​
97​
1350​
76​
210​
2.76​
9.25​
4.48​
34.5​
126​
4.21​
6.91​
4​
7​
Demaryius Thomas
1​
94​
1434​
75.25​
224​
2.98​
10.5​
4.38​
6​
8​
Dez Bryant
1​
92​
1382​
74​
220​
2.97​
9.75​
4.52​
38​
133​
4.48​
7.21​
6​
9​
Roddy White
1​
92​
1351​
73.25​
207​
2.83​
9.625​
4.46​
41​
126​
4.01​
7.12​
5​
10​
Victor CruzUDFA
86​
1092​
72​
204​
2.83​
9.5​
4.47​
2​
2012 Averages
1.38​
103.70​
1438.80​
74.13​
216.10​
2.91​
9.44​
4.47​
37.25​
127.00​
4.19​
7.06​
4.70​
2012 Minimums
8​
68.75​
195​
2.78​
8.88​
4.65​
30​
113​
4.48​
7.21​
1​
 
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harschman

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2011 Top 10 WRs in receptions average physical attributes.

RankNameRoundRecYardsHeightWeightRBSHand Size40 TimeVerticalBroad Jump20 Yd Shuttle3 Cone DrillScore
1​
Wes WelkerUDFA
122​
1539​
68.75​
195​
2.84​
9​
4.65​
30​
113​
4.01​
7.09​
1​
2​
Roddy White
1​
100​
1296​
73.25​
207​
2.83​
9.625​
4.46​
41​
126​
4.01​
7.12​
6​
3​
Calvin Johnson
1​
99​
1310​
77​
237​
3.08​
9.75​
4.39​
42.5​
139​
8​
4​
Percy Harvin
1​
87​
967​
71​
200​
2.82​
9.375​
4.39​
37.5​
121​
4​
5​
Victor CruzUDFA
82​
1536​
72​
204​
2.83​
9.5​
4.47​
1​
6​
Dwayne Bowe
1​
81​
1159​
74​
221​
2.99​
9.88​
4.51​
33​
125​
4.35​
6.81​
7​
7​
Brandon Marshall
4​
81​
1214​
77​
232​
3.01​
8.88​
4.52​
37​
120​
4.31​
6.96​
3​
8​
Marques Colston
7​
80​
1143​
77​
224​
2.91​
9.625​
4.5​
37​
123​
4.44​
6.96​
4​
9​
Larry Fitzgerald
1​
80​
1411​
75​
225​
3.00​
10.5​
4.48​
38​
4.28​
6.94​
8​
10​
Steve Smith
3​
79​
1394​
69​
184​
2.67​
9.25​
4.41​
38.5​
121​
4.25​
7.44​
2​
2011 Averages
2.38​
89.10​
1296.90​
73.40​
212.90​
2.90​
9.54​
4.48​
37.17​
123.50​
4.24​
7.05​
4.40​
2011 Minimums
8​
68.75​
184​
2.67​
8.88​
4.65​
30​
113​
4.44​
7.44​
1​
 
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harschman

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2010 Top 10 WRs in receptions average physical attributes.

RankNameRoundRecYardsHeightWeightRBSHand Size40 TimeVerticalBroad Jump20 Yd Shuttle3 Cone DrillScore
1​
Roddy White
1​
115​
1389​
73.25​
207​
2.83​
9.625​
4.46​
41​
126​
4.01​
7.12​
6​
2​
Reggie Wayne
1​
111​
1355​
73​
203​
2.78​
9​
4.45​
36​
3​
3​
Santana Moss
1​
93​
1115​
70​
193​
2.76​
8.5​
4.31​
42​
4​
4​
Larry Fitzgerald
1​
90​
1137​
75​
225​
3.00​
10.5​
4.48​
38​
4.28​
6.94​
8​
5​
Andre Johnson
1​
86​
1216​
75​
229​
3.05​
9.13​
4.41​
39​
132​
4.1​
8​
6​
Brandon Marshall
4​
86​
1014​
77​
232​
3.01​
8.88​
4.52​
37​
120​
4.31​
6.96​
5​
7​
Wes WelkerUDFA
86​
848​
68.75​
195​
2.84​
9​
4.65​
30​
113​
4.01​
7.09​
1​
8​
Danny Amendola
2​
85​
689​
71​
185​
2.61​
4.58​
31.5​
103​
4.25​
6.81​
2​
9​
Marques Colston
7​
84​
1023​
77​
224​
2.91​
9.625​
4.5​
37​
123​
4.44​
6.96​
6​
10​
Steve Johnson
7​
82​
1073​
74​
210​
2.84​
9.625​
4.58​
32.5​
121​
4.26​
7.07​
3​
2010 Averages
2.78​
91.80​
1085.90​
73.40​
210.30​
2.86​
9.32​
4.49​
36.40​
119.71​
4.21​
6.99​
4.60​
 
Last edited:

sammymvpknight

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Really interested in seeing what Hogan can bring to table. He’s big, fast, and can block well. Just need to see if he can run routes and catch the ball.
lol. Big and most important if. He looks pretty stiff to me
 

dutar76

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I'm really starting to think a receiver might have to have some dirt on Sean and Drew to get more than a handful of targets.
 
OP
OP

harschman

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Really interested in seeing what Hogan can bring to table. He’s big, fast, and can block well. Just need to see if he can run routes and catch the ball.
Here is Hogan compared to the average physical attributes, agility, speed and explosiveness of the top 10 WRs in receptions every year from 2010 - 2019. He is above average in every category except speed. He also does all of the dirty work and was essentially utilized like Shenault while in college. SP may have found a diamond in the rough again.

NameRoundRecYardsHeightWeightRBSHand Size40 TimeVerticalBroad Jump20 Yd Shuttle3 Cone DrillScore
2010-2019 Average
2.46​
99.61​
1293.84​
73.16​
209.53​
2.86​
9.61​
4.49​
36.21​
121.85​
4.24​
6.94​
4.85​
Krishawn Hogan
75​
217​
2.89​
9.88​
4.56​
36.5​
123​
4.21​
6.74​
6​
 

sfidc3

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To me the most important attributes for a WR are in order of importance below:

1) Quickness (not to be confused with and way more important than straight line speed), to me cone/shuttle, burst times are much more significant than 40 times.
2) Ability to separate and create space from defender (or simply get open). Route running and upper body strength certainly a factor here.
3) Hands, catch ability....without 1 and 2, 3 is moot
4) Straight line speed (40 time)
5) Blocking ability
 

Trey W.

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To me the most important attributes for a WR are in order of importance below:

1) Quickness (not to be confused with and way more important than straight line speed), to me cone/shuttle, burst times are much more significant than 40 times.
2) Ability to separate and create space from defender (or simply get open). Route running and upper body strength certainly a factor here.
3) Hands, catch ability....without 1 and 2, 3 is moot
4) Straight line speed (40 time)
5) Blocking ability
Actually your #3 should be the #1 because it doesn’t matter how wide open you get if you don’t catch the ball the rest is moot. Great hands can over come some of the separation issue. Like MT, a DB can be draped all over him but he catches the ball at an amazingly high rate even for the NFL.
 

boutrous

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Maybe I'm not reading this data correctly, but the "Score" column does not seem to be a good indicator of who's going to be an above average WR at all.
 

CTSaint

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Really interested in seeing what Hogan can bring to table. He’s big, fast, and can block well. Just need to see if he can run routes and catch the ball.
The highlighted reminds me of Larry F. (might be the dreads) Now if only he could break out his inner L. Fitzgerald hands & route running. Curtis J. needs to challenge this kid!
 

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