Potential Severe Weather tomorrow, 3-22-22 (Update: Tornadoes on ground in metro area) (1 Viewer)

[ktulu909]

The wind is going bonkers here in da Metrys as well and the power already flickered once...

Yep,I work at Mobile One on clearview and its flickered a few times here.

 

[bclemms]

Right with you. Did this kind of stuff never, ever happen in the 1970s, 1980s, 1990s, etc.? In the N.O. metro, I mean?

In the 1980s, living in Metairie within easy walking distance to Lake Pontchartrain, I can remember seeing waterspouts over the lake now and then. Maybe three or four separate occasions.

Back then, I can't ever remember a tornado touching down in the Metairie-Kenner area. I'm sure some happened at some point back then in the built-up N.O. metro area ... just don't remember the news coverage about them.

...

So what's going on in 2022? Different/better forecasting tech + social media = more bad forecasts? Global warming/loss of wetlands really IS changing local climate? Something else?

Yes. Hype gets the clicks and it starts a positive feedback loop. You don’t remember systems like these because they used to be classified level 2 and the forecast would call for thunderstorms, some of which could be severe.

The tornado warnings you are seeing are very low probability tornadoes and they used to just severe warn them.

The higher end days were reserved for supercells.

 

[Doug B]

You don’t remember systems like these because they used to be classified level 2 and the forecast would call for thunderstorms, some of which could be severe.

Thanks for the explanation.

It must be a quite new change to the classification system ... I don't even remember this stuff last year, or a few years ago.

I do recall, however, that there was a September 2019 (?) downpour over much of the city that flooded the CBD in New Orleans during the work day. I waded several blocks long Poydras to get to my car and get home. THAT downpour was essentially forecast in advance, and was probably something we'd have heard nothing in a typical 1980s weathercast.

 

[bonnjer]

Leading edge of squall line us past me now. Had a possible tornado pass a few miles south. My anxiety levels are slowly coming down, but my neck is tight and I have a bit a tension headache.

 

[bclemms]

Thanks for the explanation.

It must be a quite new change to the classification system ... I don't even remember this stuff last year, or a few years ago.

I do recall, however, that there was a September 2019 (?) downpour over much of the city that flooded the CBD in New Orleans during the work day. I waded several blocks long Poydras to get to my car and get home. THAT downpour was essentially forecast in advance, and was probably something we'd have heard nothing in a typical 1980s weathercast.

The system hasn’t changed. It all just gets hyped regularly now.

 

[Zardnok]

My boss has a tree across his car and his truck both.

 

[DaveXA]

My boss has a tree across his car and his truck both.

Yeah, man, I'd rather the vehicles than my house...but ouch. Hope he's insured, lol.

 

[Maxp]

I was pacing the clouds racing north up hwy 225 near my house at 55 mph. Pretty cool to watch.

 

[bclemms]

I was pacing the clouds racing north up hwy 225 near my house at 55 mph. Pretty cool to watch.

Im headed your way. Little pocket along the coast from Mobile to Pensacola could pop off a supercell or two late tonight. Unlikely but I have to be out so…

 

[Maxp]

Im headed your way. Little pocket along the coast from Mobile to Pensacola could pop off a supercell or two late tonight. Unlikely but I have to be out so…

About how late would you say? Either way I'm glad I'm not offshore for this one. We had some crazy weather 3 weeks ago.

 

[bclemms]

Jackson just got hit by a couple QLCS tornadoes. Not sure how bad yet.

 

[TXSAINTFAN]

Jackson just got hit by a couple QLCS tornadoes. Not sure how bad yet.

I've been listening to the Jackson Police and Fire scanner and have heard several reports of trees on houses, power poles down. Nothing major so far.

 

[ChrisinNOLA]

Well I guess this is a preview what is to come later this year. The H word.

 

[bclemms]

Well I guess this is a preview what is to come later this year. The H word.

Absolutely no correlation.

 

[ChrisinNOLA]

Absolutely no correlation.

It’s pretty windy out here. Unless you are telling me it will be a slow year.