The Investment Thread (2 Viewers)

[Chris]

Tesla earnings tomorrow after close. Powell gives us an update tomorrow. Apple earnings on Thursday. Hopefully the market settles down a bit after this crazy week is over.

 

[bclemms]

Tesla earnings tomorrow after close. Powell gives us an update tomorrow. Apple earnings on Thursday. Hopefully the market settles down a bit after this crazy week is over.

Microsoft beat earnings in a pretty big way. Proceeded to shed 5%. I have a feeling tech has a long way to go still and those PE ratios are about to start meaning something again.

It sure looks like retail is buying the dips during the day and the big money is selling it off overnight. Another week like the last two and retail is going to start panic selling.

 

[NewOrleansFan]

Microsoft beat earnings in a pretty big way. Proceeded to shed 5%. I have a feeling tech has a long way to go still and those PE ratios are about to start meaning something again.

It sure looks like retail is buying the dips during the day and the big money is selling it off overnight. Another week like the last two and retail is going to start panic selling.

Looks like Microsoft recovered and green now. I have high hope for Tesla tomorrow. May YOLO some calls.

 

[bclemms]

Looks like Microsoft recovered and green now. I have high hope for Tesla tomorrow. May YOLO some calls.

Yeah, was just showing how irrational the market is behaving. AAL also had a beat with optimistic guidance and a debt reduction plan that looks quite good. Fell 15% since then.

Then again, the market has been acting irrational the other way for a year.

I wanted to buy TSLA puts a couple weeks ago but they are just too expensive relative to what I wanted to invest. Wish I had but hindsight is an amazing tool not at my disposal.

The best companies in the world are in tech. The most overvalued companies in the world are in tech. Reminds me so much of dot com bust. Amazon hit all time high in 1999 while struggling to actually make money. Produced one good earning report after another over the next two years as the stock lost 90%. It didn’t hit a new all time high until a decade later. Can’t help but think TSLA is the new Amazon. Insanely good company but so overvalued. I’d love to own TSLA but in that $300 range is where I’d get interested.

It’s possible they have a blow out quarter and the earnings begins catching up to the price. It’s already done that some but it’s going to be a lot more difficult moving forward.

Then again, if it is like Amazon then nobody will care about any of this in 20 years.

 

[bclemms]

Managed to get out of some calls expiring next week .01 from the high today to almost breaking even. Then grabbed some hedge puts way out the money basically protecting myself against a drop of >7% between now and Feb 4th. I’m in airlines but my hedges are on tech since it has a better chance of moving the needle big. Also did some short term calls on Apple. Get the feeling Apple crushed it last quarter and earnings will be a big beat. I figure if their latest offerings got me to buy a phone and max book (I hate Apple) then they are going to smash.

 

[efil4stnias]

this market is bi polar.

Its like watching Gameday board- SP calls a Taysom run play over left side with option for TD...MARKET GOES WILD.

Next play from scrimmage calls for Taysom play action on 2nd a 1 and he throws interception- MARKET TANKS.

 

[Turfie]

this market is bi polar.

Its like watching Gameday board- SP calls a Taysom run play over left side with option for TD...MARKET GOES WILD.

Next play from scrimmage calls for Taysom play action on 2nd a 1 and he throws interception- MARKET TANKS.

Pretty much. GME up 17% on no news and then crashes right back down on no news. Sometimes I think these are volatility pumps to make options more pricey.

 

[bclemms]

TSLA had a record quarter, big time beat on revenue and earnings. Increased cash position, reduced debt, increased margins and also increased deliveries. It was a beat from top to bottom.

It's down 7% today.

 

[efil4stnias]

TSLA had a record quarter, big time beat on revenue and earnings. Increased cash position, reduced debt, increased margins and also increased deliveries. It was a beat from top to bottom.

It's down 7% today.

this kinda movement is usually reserved for 3rd Q earnings.

its happening in 1stQ

i have no idea how to even begin to plan for 2022 strategies, other than to simply sit tight, buckle in and hold on.

 

[bclemms]

this kinda movement is usually reserved for 3rd Q earnings.

its happening in 1stQ

i have no idea how to even begin to plan for 2022 strategies, other than to simply sit tight, buckle in and hold on.

I'm pretty much just playing around to keep me interested in the market until it crashes and I can move all in. I've been 95% cash since January 2020 and the other 5% went all towards short positions until it crashed. Took money off the table to stay around the 5% level. Now I'm losing money in cash and not making any in the market. I'm positioned very well for the past two weeks and a crash if it does happen. I'm positioned very poorly for any other scenario and don't see a logical way of fixing that. I look around and just see an everything bubble.

 

[NewOrleansFan]

TSLA had a record quarter, big time beat on revenue and earnings. Increased cash position, reduced debt, increased margins and also increased deliveries. It was a beat from top to bottom.

It's down 7% today.

Yup. The yolo call I bought yesterday worth about tree fiddy.

 

[bclemms]

Yup. The yolo call I bought yesterday worth about tree fiddy.

Sucks because it was the right call based on the numbers. As soon as I watched what happened with TSLA I dumped my apple calls at a small profit because even if Apple smashes it doesn't mean much.

Can't stress how much TSLA looks like the new amazon from the dot com era.

 

[livefromDC]

Can't stress how much TSLA looks like the new amazon from the dot com era.

What does this mean? I legit don't understand.

 

[jboss]

What does this mean? I legit don't understand.

Amazon stock soared during the dot com boom and then crashed when the bubble burst. But it was still a good long term investment.

 

[bclemms]

What does this mean? I legit don't understand.

Amazon hit all time high in 1999 during the dot com bubble. During that time it wasn't profitable. When the bubble finally popped it started a string of 8 consecutive quarters of big beats across the board and was blowing up. Stock price fell all the way to the single digits losing 90% of it's value. It took a decade to recover all time highs.

As bad as that sounds though, this is what that all time high looks like on a chart.