Week 20 Betting Thread (1 Viewer)

[BBarnes]

Locked this in for the first half right before I got on my bus route. Hopefully it holds on

1-0 so far

Minnesota -9.5

 

[BBarnes]

1-0 so far

Minnesota -9.5

Winner

2-1

 

[BBarnes]

Let’s see if we can stay hot

Buffalo ML and Under 52.5 parlay +149

 

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Do any of y'all ever wager based some of those week 18 contract incentive /statistical milestone props?

 

[BBarnes]

Do any of y'all ever wager based some of those week 18 contract incentive /statistical milestone props?

This is my first year really betting any props in all my years of betting. However, I think that has to be an angle that is strongly considered

 

[kewinn89]

Buffalo ML
Buffalo/Liberty under 51.5

 

[El Caliente]

I looked at a number of those incentive prop bets and it looks like all the book makers have priced in those incentives, like when the market bakes in an acquisition into a stocks price.

For example, look at Mike Evans incentive props (his are the most popular because the Bucs are playing for a playoff spot, and he is playing a Lattimore-less Saints).

He needs 1 td, 5 receptions, and like 83 yards. All the book makers have made those props next to worthless, with bettors gambling on him to hit. On BetUs (which I use), his td prop is set at -200, his receptions are set at 6.5, and his yards are set at 102.5. For reference, Jamar Chase’s props (in a much friendlier offense where he is the top dog) are hardly that bad.

Even if you parlay all of Evans’ odds, you only get +139 on BetUs.

 

[El Caliente]

Buffalo ML
Buffalo/Liberty under 51.5

Took your and @BBarnes bets and added the Buffalo Bills ML to make a all Buffalo Parlay.

 

[Noble Saint]

Do any of y'all ever wager based some of those week 18 contract incentive /statistical milestone props?

Yes. Last year was good for it. Problem this year so many podcasters and sites gave out all the info so early in the week, well before the props came up, that the books have adjusted and as they still get pounded, the value keeps dropping. I have a bunch written down at the house, but Malik Nabors for one will be asking for the ball every play to try and pass Bowers on the rookie record. I’ll try and find a video from a few days ago that listed many of them.

 

[Noble Saint]

 

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Small parlay on Buffalo / Liberty under 50.5 and Lamar Jackson passing for 300 or more yards.......+1657 odds

 

[Noble Saint]

Small parlay on Buffalo / Liberty under 50.5 and Lamar Jackson passing for 300 or more yards.......+1657 odds

I think Henry just needs 1 touchdown to set the Ravens TD record. Haven’t looked at the payout tho.

 

[El Caliente]

I think Henry just needs 1 touchdown to set the Ravens TD record. Haven’t looked at the payout tho.

It ain’t great. You need to parlay it with something else in order for it to make sense.

 

[kewinn89]

Guy just dove into the buffalo receivers knee

 

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I think Henry just needs 1 touchdown to set the Ravens TD record. Haven’t looked at the payout tho.

Burrow needs 359 passing yards to get to 5K yards.....something to consider for tonight.