Lucketty
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For those who say he is Scott Shanle (and again, that would be a useful thing from a UDFA), don't base your beliefs on scouting reports. Watch the guy play. He's constantly around the ball, making plays. Despite his lack of great athleticism, he consistently finds his way into the backfield as a pass rusher using a combination of relentlessness, a couple of well-developed pass rush moves, and really violent hand usage combined with an understanding of how to use the short-area quickness he has after gaining an advantage. He wins quickly off the snap, and he wins a lot. His go-to move is using an outside set followed by a rapid club and rip inside... he ends up inside of the tackle with a clear path to the quarterback within a half-second of the snap on a high percentage of his pass rushing attempts. Shanle was a guy who held onto his position by ostensibly "doing the little things right", but he rarely made plays; you couldn't watch Stanford over the past four years without Thomas popping out to you. His productivity is remarkable and consistent. He had 7.5 sacks and 14.5 TFL as a senior, 8.5 sacks and 17.5 TFL as a junior, and 7.5 sacks and 11.5 TFL as a sophomore, with 2 INT and 9 FF over his college career. Keep in mind that he only rushes on 2/3-3/4 of passing attempts. Against the same competition and the same time-frame, Dion Jordan posted 5.0 and 13.5, 7.5 and 13, and 2 and 5.5 respectively, with 4 career forced fumbles and 0 INT. These guys are from different planets athletically, this is just to show that Thomas understands how to rush the passer.
<iframe width="560" height="315" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/1xbSCbQmA44" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>
<iframe width="560" height="315" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/Iy5CCo4dcLE" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>
Where he really shines is as a run defender. He does an amazing job of stack-and-shed, knowing where he needs to direct the runner, and containing the edge. This is the type of play that we need on our defense; yeah, we need guys who can shoot in the backfield and make plays, but a big part of the problem over the last few years has been with run fits, with linebackers getting completely washed out, losing position, or not understanding where their help is. While not as sexy as adding an elite edge rusher, adding a guy who understands the responsibilities of an OLB in the 3-4 in the run game is going to be a need for this team, and Thomas might be the best 3-4 OLB in this draft class that I've seen at this particular skill. We have a guy who shows natural pass rush ability and has been very productive on a per snap basis in Junior Galette. We have a guy in Martez Wilson who is off-the-charts athletically and, in an incredibly minimal role, has flashed pass rush skills. Victor Butler was also largely a situational rusher for the Cowboys, although I can't speak to what his skills in the run game were. But it's unclear if any of these edge rusher prospects will bring any plus traits to the running game, which creates a niche for a guy like Thomas.
<iframe width="560" height="315" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/wDERG560uY4" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>
<iframe width="560" height="315" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/ootYe2ewcs0" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>
This isn't to say there aren't real concerns about his ability to project to the pros. He's an undrafted free agent for a reason, although I'd argue that they aren't good reasons to not take a mid-round flier on the guy. His workout numbers are marginal for the NFL... that's not to say that there aren't lots of linebackers in the NFL who ran in a similar range, but it's not a plus to project a slightly undersized LB with really short arms and marginal speed. If you watch the above clips, you will see a guy who is living in the backfield, but does not have the closing speed or athleticism to break down and finish the play when faced with quarterbacks much more athletic than him. If colleges kept hurry statistics, he'd probably have 5 to 6 hurries for every sack in the above cutups. At the college level, he did a very nice job in coverage and looks very comfortable in zone as well as in man matchups, but I anticipate that he will struggle when matched up in man coverage on backs or TEs who outclass him athletically, and he will not be able to take deep zone drops. Which places him in the company of 9/10 3-4 OLBs, but it is a limitation nonetheless.
There's a role for guys like this on your team, and even possibly in your starting lineup. As the NFP article on Thomas states, "While every team that runs a 34 scheme would like to find an impact edge rusher like James Harrison or Clay Matthews, the reality is that many successful 34 defenses have been based around good, productive outside linebackers like Shaun Phillips and Mike Vrabel." He isn't going to be a star pass rusher, but as a guy who knows how to play both against the run and the pass, he could be a key part of our OLB rotation. The guy is a football player, and I wouldn't bet against him.
Further reading:
Under-Rated Prospect Stanford OLB Chase Thomas | National Football Post
Scouting the Draft: Stanford OLB Chase Thomas - Field Gulls
Chase Thomas, Conundrum - Evaluations - Rotoworld.com
2013 NFL Draft: Scouting Report--Chase Thomas - Battle Red Blog
<iframe width="560" height="315" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/1xbSCbQmA44" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>
<iframe width="560" height="315" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/Iy5CCo4dcLE" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>
Where he really shines is as a run defender. He does an amazing job of stack-and-shed, knowing where he needs to direct the runner, and containing the edge. This is the type of play that we need on our defense; yeah, we need guys who can shoot in the backfield and make plays, but a big part of the problem over the last few years has been with run fits, with linebackers getting completely washed out, losing position, or not understanding where their help is. While not as sexy as adding an elite edge rusher, adding a guy who understands the responsibilities of an OLB in the 3-4 in the run game is going to be a need for this team, and Thomas might be the best 3-4 OLB in this draft class that I've seen at this particular skill. We have a guy who shows natural pass rush ability and has been very productive on a per snap basis in Junior Galette. We have a guy in Martez Wilson who is off-the-charts athletically and, in an incredibly minimal role, has flashed pass rush skills. Victor Butler was also largely a situational rusher for the Cowboys, although I can't speak to what his skills in the run game were. But it's unclear if any of these edge rusher prospects will bring any plus traits to the running game, which creates a niche for a guy like Thomas.
<iframe width="560" height="315" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/wDERG560uY4" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>
<iframe width="560" height="315" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/ootYe2ewcs0" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>
This isn't to say there aren't real concerns about his ability to project to the pros. He's an undrafted free agent for a reason, although I'd argue that they aren't good reasons to not take a mid-round flier on the guy. His workout numbers are marginal for the NFL... that's not to say that there aren't lots of linebackers in the NFL who ran in a similar range, but it's not a plus to project a slightly undersized LB with really short arms and marginal speed. If you watch the above clips, you will see a guy who is living in the backfield, but does not have the closing speed or athleticism to break down and finish the play when faced with quarterbacks much more athletic than him. If colleges kept hurry statistics, he'd probably have 5 to 6 hurries for every sack in the above cutups. At the college level, he did a very nice job in coverage and looks very comfortable in zone as well as in man matchups, but I anticipate that he will struggle when matched up in man coverage on backs or TEs who outclass him athletically, and he will not be able to take deep zone drops. Which places him in the company of 9/10 3-4 OLBs, but it is a limitation nonetheless.
There's a role for guys like this on your team, and even possibly in your starting lineup. As the NFP article on Thomas states, "While every team that runs a 34 scheme would like to find an impact edge rusher like James Harrison or Clay Matthews, the reality is that many successful 34 defenses have been based around good, productive outside linebackers like Shaun Phillips and Mike Vrabel." He isn't going to be a star pass rusher, but as a guy who knows how to play both against the run and the pass, he could be a key part of our OLB rotation. The guy is a football player, and I wouldn't bet against him.
Further reading:
Under-Rated Prospect Stanford OLB Chase Thomas | National Football Post
Scouting the Draft: Stanford OLB Chase Thomas - Field Gulls
Chase Thomas, Conundrum - Evaluations - Rotoworld.com
2013 NFL Draft: Scouting Report--Chase Thomas - Battle Red Blog