2024 Tropical Weather Thread (1 Viewer)

[Andrus]

Can't say that I can remember ever seeing something like this happen before...

 

[bclemms]

To the point that I always thought it was a geographical/meteorological aspect of the west Florida coast— that they were in some kind of a “hurricane shadow” and couldn’t really ever get hit from a storm in the Gulf (as opposed to a storm coming off the Atlantic and crossing the peninsula east to west).

Ian, WIlma and Charlie are the most recent majors to hit the west coast of Florida. Typically they take hits when storms form down by Belize or the central Caribbean and then take the turn. The only place along the Gulf that is unlikely for a major hurricane is the area below and even that is not impossible.

Can't say that I can remember ever seeing something like this happen before...

Hurricane Lorenzo in 2019 was similar but more powerful. I was in Ireland for that one. It happens every 4-5 years and is becoming more common.

 

[Andrus]

 

[St. Widge]

Right - it might be unusual but isn’t free will or voodoo, it’s the steering systems. Some JA in a thread elsewhere was suggesting that Helene’s movement NE up into the southeast before a left curve to the west was “suspicious”. No, it was because there was a high pressure ridge off the SE Atlantic coast - and it was always supposed to be there from the earliest tracks of that storm.

So not space lasers?

 

[efil4stnias]

So not space lasers?

Oh no it's worse than that....energizing particles in atmosphere

No joke

 

[St. Widge]

Oh no it's worse than that....energizing particles in atmosphere

No joke

Yeah. I know. Just trying to play nice.

 

[bclemms]

The 00z GFS brings another major hurricane into the west coast of Florida after Milton. This one is the more familiar track similar to Helene with more recurve. Relentless.

Way too early for any real forecast but just your friendly party announcement.

 

[brandon8283]

The 00z GFS brings another major hurricane into the west coast of Florida after Milton. This one is the more familiar track similar to Helene with more recurve. Relentless.

Way too early for any real forecast but just your friendly party announcement.

You’re really earning that time and a half eh

 

[bclemms]

You’re really earning that time and a half eh

People love me.

To be even more liked, the trough the GFS is showing over the central US is so overly strong for early fall I really question the reality. meaning, I wouldnt be surprised if that second hurricane shifts way west over time if it happens.

Given the signal over numerous runs now and being inside that 10 day window it is not pure fantasy and should be watched.

 

[guidomerkinsrules]

People love me.

This is certainly true
But would it surprise you to know that people have other, more complicated, feelings about you as well?

 

[bclemms]

This is certainly true
But would it surprise you to know that people have other, more complicated, feelings about you as well?

Should i change my status to: It’s complicated?

 

[Eeyore]

This is certainly true
But would it surprise you to know that people have other, more complicated, feelings about you as well?

 

[guidomerkinsrules]

projection much?

Not you Eeyore…maybe

 

[superchuck500]

Dr. Cowan's Sunday update: "significant to extreme weather event for Florida" - notes that models now call for quite a bit of sheer before landfall (40kts), but how much it weakens the storm is not clear.

 

[superchuck500]

5pm NHC update has Milton reaching 145 mph.

Hurricane Milton Forecast Discussion