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Well, to be fair, we don't know if it's an IDF rocket or not. Biden stated clearly he was relying on intel relayed to him by DOD. DOD can get it wrong sometimes. Sheet happens.Makes biden look bad for coming out and saying it wasn't an IDF rocket. His best move there would've been to say he's waiting for the investigation.
What this guy is saying is that's the current leading theory. And fwiw, I don't think he's the one who will decide what it actually was even if he's done a lot of work on it. He may be right.
He is saying that it's most likely an accident because it was probably intended for the rocket battery near the cemetery the rockets being shot towards Israel came from.
It makes sense. Tragic accident unfortunately.