The Investment Thread (4 Viewers)

The restaurants Cava and Portillo’s just published their annual reports within a day of each other. I’m not terribly good at interpreting financial results… but it’s crazy how different the market values them. Both emerging chains.

Annual revenue:
Cava: $717 million
Portillo’s: $680 million

Net income
Cava: $13.2 million
Portillo’s: $24.8 million

Store numbers
Cava: 309
Portillo’s: 84

Total assets:
Cava: $983 million
Portillo’s: $1.38 billion

Debt:
Cava: $342 million
Portillo’s: $300 million

Market capitalization:
Cava: $6.46 billion
Portillo’s: $1.12 billion
There's a whole lot more digging that would need to be done, but Portillo seems to be really well positioned. The number that jumps out is assets per store.

And of course that market cap difference is pretty stark.
 
I know that Ward has been in NVDA for some time now, I hope he's been holding.

I have some NVDA in managed accounts that I have, I think I have been in a "digital strategy" account for years now that includes the big tech names including NVDA. The returns have out performed for most of that time and are obviously crushing right now.

I stopped doing my own account a few years ago. I just sucked at it, no matter how much I tried to inform myself about a stock or sector or trends, I typically made poor choices and threw in the towel in favor of professionals.
........

:mecry:

I sold it off years ago when they had that first big growth and dip, then there were lawsuits about them misleading investors... I never did get back in, and wow... regret it.

but all in all, most of my other plays are doing well

Honestly, I never had that many NVDA shares anyway.
 
When I changed jobs, I moved my entire 401k into an IRA. This was about 15 months ago.

I kept my old company stock, which is still mostly crushing it.. despite the last few days dropping. That's by far the bulk of what I have.

I bought into GOOG, AAPL, KO, CVI, AMZN, and then an S&P500 and a few other market funds. I also put some into a monthly bank CD that's earning 5%. Why not, with interest rates so high.

In that span and a few trades..., GOOG is up 28.5%, AMZN is up 77%, APPL is up 21.8%, CVI is up 12.45% (mostly a dividend play), KO is up 1.49% (but also a dividend play), S&P is up 33.5%, T Rowe Price Blue Chip is up 51%. My HEI stock is up 25-26% (depending on which class), and that's from my switch.

Overall, YTD, is only up 5.6%, but that's mostly from HEI dropping the last few days. I haven't really done any trades this quarter.
 
I've done years of DD on Meta and have it figured out. Their quarterly growth numbers are directly linked to META's tolerance for bots and copyright infringement. Last year when META's stock fell out and they had a huge slow down on unique users they were really cracking down on bots and banning accounts that were repeatedly infringing on other people's works. Since that time we've seen a massive influx of bots, AI pages and copyright infringement. Right now we are detecting about 15,000 copyright infringements per day on Facebook alone. This number is up 500% since META stock crashed last year. Of course the stock has recovered as the "unique users" suddenly shot back up in the form of bots.

I have all the documentation in the world. If this reality wasn't broken, I would take every penny I have and short META. Problem is, I don't think anyone would listen even if I airdropped the data over Wall St. and with a company with pockets as deep as META, they could have a technology or AI breakthrough before the shorts ever hit. It really sucks to have this much research and data to be worthless.
 
IMG_0285.jpegMarket cap of 28 billion. In 2018 they spent 63 billion to buy Monsanto.
The crazy thing is glyphosate is incredibly safe. It is one of the safest herbicides of all time. If you get rid of glyphosate then the cost of weed control in crops will more than double. Not one scientific committee has said it’s hazardous. The closest was an organization that said “We can’t conclude that it doesn’t cause cancer”.

And seriously…follow the label and wear protective gear like any other pesticide. But the public serving as jury only sees a “big bad company”…..yet they (we) complain about grocery prices.
 
I know that Ward has been in NVDA for some time now, I hope he's been holding.

I have some NVDA in managed accounts that I have, I think I have been in a "digital strategy" account for years now that includes the big tech names including NVDA. The returns have out performed for most of that time and are obviously crushing right now.

I stopped doing my own account a few years ago. I just sucked at it, no matter how much I tried to inform myself about a stock or sector or trends, I typically made poor choices and threw in the towel in favor of professionals.

I bought Nvidia about 20 months ago at $154/share... and at the time I was debating on putting in even more, but I'm too risk averse to put a substantial amount of my portfolio in one stock. It still is obvious a good performer for me, and I'm going to hold for a while longer... but had I done what I was considering, I'd be retired now (well not really, but pretty close).
 
I’m interested in learning about option trading and thought my fellow whodats may know of a resource, recommend a certain book, etc that may help me learn more. Thanks
 
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I’m interested in learning about option trading and thought my fellow whodats may know of a resource, recommend a certain book, etc that may help me learn more. Thanks




Interesting that you post this now.. im actually going to start dabbling in selling covered call options very soon .. not sure if you were referring to that, or puts or something else.. obviously there are tons of youtube vids and everything else on the subject, which ive been delving into- but of course any personal experiences here would be welcomed by me as well .


ETA im not looking to ‘get rich quick’ or any such nonsense , some people seem to be able to make a substantial income off of options, but not myself.. im just looking to start small, and then within six months to a year- scale up to just supplement my income with an additional $1500-$1800 per month for a project im working on … covered calls seem to be relatively low risk, and my objective is to keep it as simple and as low risk as possible, (and easy to understand and not **** up) - even if that means only bringing in an extra $50-$75 per week while i learn .
 
The restaurants Cava and Portillo’s just published their annual reports within a day of each other. I’m not terribly good at interpreting financial results… but it’s crazy how different the market values them. Both emerging chains.

Annual revenue:
Cava: $717 million
Portillo’s: $680 million

Net income
Cava: $13.2 million
Portillo’s: $24.8 million

Store numbers
Cava: 309
Portillo’s: 84

Total assets:
Cava: $983 million
Portillo’s: $1.38 billion

Debt:
Cava: $342 million
Portillo’s: $300 million

Market capitalization:
Cava: $6.46 billion
Portillo’s: $1.12 billion
Cava is now at a market cap of 7.53 billion and Portillo’s at 0.988 billion.

From all of my reading it appears that the market overall has serious doubts on how Portillo’s can expand to 900 restaurant locations and they are only currently at 84 locations.

The CEO has said that beginning in 2026 they will start creating much smaller locations that are for more drive thru orders. If you haven’t seen a Portillo’s in person they are relatively massive restaurants.

But the market doesn’t believe they can aggressively build new restaurants without share offerings.

That has to be the sole reason for the disparity in market valuations between these two restaurants.

On the bullish side, right now Portillo’s is earning more net income with only 84 restaurants vs Cava’s 309 restaurants…..which means IF Portillo’s can slowly build more restaurants without a share offering then there market capitalization should soar much higher than Cava.
 
The crazy thing is glyphosate is incredibly safe. It is one of the safest herbicides of all time. If you get rid of glyphosate then the cost of weed control in crops will more than double. Not one scientific committee has said it’s hazardous. The closest was an organization that said “We can’t conclude that it doesn’t cause cancer”.

And seriously…follow the label and wear protective gear like any other pesticide. But the public serving as jury only sees a “big bad company”…..yet they (we) complain about grocery prices.
Crazy how one jury trial verdict could almost crash a multi-billion dollar company.
 
Crazy how one jury trial verdict could almost crash a multi-billion dollar company.
It rocked the entire agrochemical industry. Since that initial verdict most of the leading brands in agrochemicals took a massive hit.

The reason is….if glyphosate is becoming a problem chemical then almost NOTHING is safe in the agrochemical world. What’s next is likely Dicamba for herbicides and there are nionic insecticides that can cause issues. And another group of insecticides…the pyrethroids could also hit the courts.

Glyphosate is safer than all of those aforementioned chemicals. Glyphosate hitting the crosshairs really impacted everything. It is one of the safer mass produced pesticides ever made.

I worked for Bayer on the agrochemical side when all of this happened. The executive suite never thought the initial lawsuit had a chance. They paid more than 60 billion for Monsanto and knew these lawsuits were already filed. They got cocky and never actually thought a jury would lay the hammer.

I got a lot of thoughts on how all of this will shake out. It’s depressing.
 
This market man.

Quietly, every American with market exposure (almost 60%) is seeing substantial gains since November.
 

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