2024 Tropical Weather Thread (2 Viewers)

18z GFS is now putting a hurricane in the gulf next week. It's been very consistent showing the development of this storm and it is now inside the 200 hour window. It has not been consistent with the placement or track direction. Most runs up until now have kept it in the Caribbean and then East of Florida. The ICON and Euro are showing very similar upper level air patterns but do not show a storm yet and will just now start getting inside that 10 day window over the next day or two.

Low likelihood of this becoming anything major for the northern gulf coast at this point. I'd say a 20-30% chance this could eventually be a Florida problem. I'd say at least 50% chance this will not be a US problem or a hurricane at any point but here is the early call of "worth watching" and "signal".

Sir, this is a Taylor Swift thread.


ETA: Also a cheese thread now.
 
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You Need to Calm Down, Don’t Blame Me because it has been a Cruel Summer. A Fortnight starting in late August started the Bad Blood in Florida. You Know All Too Well who got you Ready For It, Me!

This was great!!!!! You just needed a ....


 
00z GFS had a Katrina size major hurricane hitting near Panama City. The 06z has a storm similar to Milton hitting the West Coast of Florida near election day which would be so much fun for all the conspiracies.

The other models are starting to indicate a tropical low and similar upper level patterns.
 

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