2024 Tropical Weather Thread (38 Viewers)

[HoustonGold]

Prepare to get wet at the Bama/ LSU game this weekend.

 

[TheRealJRad]

Isn’t that trajectory the “right up the river” path that is supposed to be like super bad? Or is it a bit too west?

 

[LogeEndZone]

Isn’t that trajectory the “right up the river” path that is supposed to be like super bad? Or is it a bit too west?

There's still a lot of uncertainty beyond the next couple of days.

 

[SaintRob]

Isn’t that trajectory the “right up the river” path that is supposed to be like super bad? Or is it a bit too west?

If it was going to be a Cat 3+, yeah. This looks like it's going to be a rain maker, not a "storm surge up the river" kind of storm.

 

[Madmarsha]

Isn’t that trajectory the “right up the river” path that is supposed to be like super bad?

My husband used to say that all the time (you know, I suspect everyone who grew up during the time of Betsy became hurricane "experts" from years of watching and listening to Nash). He doesn't really say that anymore after Katrina.

 

[TheRealJRad]

If it was going to be a Cat 3+, yeah. This looks like it's going to be a rain maker, not a "storm surge up the river" kind of storm.

I couldn't remember exactly what the conditions were, thanks

 

[HoustonGold]

Some tracks having it fizzling out before it hits land.

 

[perret318]

Some tracks having it fizzling out before it hits land.

Yeah, it's still far out, but the intensity forecast has increased from just last night, and the cones have been super accurate the last few seasons. Also, it's late in the season, but Zeta came right overhead as a Cat 2/3, an that was the last week of October.
Something's coming here. What or how big it'll be is yet to be seen.

 

[HoustonGold]

Yeah, it's still far out, but the intensity forecast has increased from just last night, and the cones have been super accurate the last few seasons. Also, it's late in the season, but Zeta came right overhead as a Cat 2/3, an that was the last week of October.
Something's coming here. What or how big it'll be is yet to be seen.

It will meet lots of wind sheer and cooler waters once in the Gulf.

 

[HoustonGold]

Tropical Depression 18 forms, Louisiana in the cone

Dry air, stronger wind shear, and cooler ocean temperatures will weaken the system in the Gulf later this week

www.wwltv.com

The current track does bring the storm near Louisiana and Mississippi on Friday into Saturday, but there remains a lot of uncertainty on how strong the storm will be once it nears the northern Gulf. If it weakens fast enough there might not be much left of it to bring impacts. Based on the current forecast, our concern level remains very low, although we could see some rain and stronger winds later this week.

 

[HoustonGold]

We got a new weapon.

 

[faceman]

It will meet lots of wind sheer and cooler waters once in the Gulf.

That's what the Met on WWL said this morning. Gulf waters are starting to cool since the days have
become much shorter.

 

[SWJJ]

Model updates I have seen are trending East. I think it's more likely to hit Mobile than New Orleans.

 

[Nisey55]

It can pass my way, it hasn't rained since September.

 

[bclemms]

I’m not expecting this system to be much more than a windy rainy day.