2024 Tropical Weather Thread

[Sailorsaint]

TS Debby

Glad I’m not in Key West any longer.

 

[Snakehead]

@superchuck500 This track isn't great for Charleston.

 

[ktulu909]

Not trying to gloss over Debby,but I'm worried about what's behind her.

 

[efil4stnias]

@superchuck500 This track isn't great for Charleston.

That is gonna bring 4 days of rain to SC. Dang.

 

[faceman]

That is gonna bring 4 days of rain to SC. Dang.

It made me do a little research. Charleston is flood prone. The search yielded the following.

Sources of flood hazards in Charleston include: the Stono, Ashley, Cooper, and Wando Rivers; Wappoo, Orangegrove, James Island, and Church Creek (riverine flooding); small (drainage of <100sq. acres) mapped and unmapped tidal creeks; and the Atlantic Ocean.

Charleston, South Carolina has been experiencing flooding more frequently than ever before. In 2022, the city had 26 flood events that were rated "moderate" or higher, which was the highest number on record since 1922. In 2023, the city broke that record with 27 such events

 

[superchuck500]

It made me do a little research. Charleston is flood prone. The search yielded the following.

Sources of flood hazards in Charleston include: the Stono, Ashley, Cooper, and Wando Rivers; Wappoo, Orangegrove, James Island, and Church Creek (riverine flooding); small (drainage of <100sq. acres) mapped and unmapped tidal creeks; and the Atlantic Ocean.

Charleston, South Carolina has been experiencing flooding more frequently than ever before. In 2022, the city had 26 flood events that were rated "moderate" or higher, which was the highest number on record since 1922. In 2023, the city broke that record with 27 such events

Yup. It floods here on a king tide - don’t even need rain.

But just for any concern, it would take truly catastrophic water levels for my house to be threatened. And the floods here tend to resolve fairly quickly after tjr storm moves out - so longer term access impacts are unlikely.

 

[bonnjer]

Not trying to gloss over Debby,but I'm worried about what's behind her.

Well, that doesn't sound ominous or anything. I haven't looked and probably don't want to, but I'm assuming models are showing something nasty developing?

 

[efil4stnias]

Well, that doesn't sound ominous or anything. I haven't looked and probably don't want to, but I'm assuming models are showing something nasty developing?

@bclemms posted about 2 pages back.

View at own risk.

 

[bclemms]

@bclemms posted about 2 pages back.

View at own risk.

Its gone on the latest run and has been bouncing all over between different ensemble members. Certainly wouldnt stress on it.

 

[superchuck500]

Dr. Cowan’s post from this afternoon on Debby. Excellent as always

 

[buzd]

Opinions on flights through ATL late tomorrow afternoon?

 

[Saintman2884]

Dr. Cowan’s post from this afternoon on Debby. Excellent as always

Most NHC tropical storm experts, metereologists are predicting at least 30 inches of total rainfall to accumulate over a 4-state area in the Southeast until next Saturday. There's a chance the accumulated total amount of rainfall might end up being more so Chuck, take it easy, stay home and stay safe with your wife, family, and relatives this week because I highly doubt you'll be asked to do much work in Charleston itself considering the literal walls of incessecant thunderstorms and constant rain Charleston's expected to receive this week.

But, as I said, take care of yourself, Ill be wishing, hoping and praying you and your family get through this okay and are safe and sound this week.


FWIW, the initial trajectory most NHC NOAA models and from other experts had Debby making landfall in and around Tallahassee, but late this afternoon, their was a slight jog or wobble to the east that shifted the storm's actual landfall around Cedar Key, close to where Idalia hit last year. Debby should be making landfall in about 3-4 hours from now, maybe sooner.

 

[efil4stnias]

Opinions on flights through ATL late tomorrow afternoon?

Expect delays. Doesn't look like ATL will get any sustained weather but could get a band or two with wind gusts that exceed airport/aircraft maximums

 

[efil4stnias]

Just got alert that Debby has stalled. At least over land and not GoM. But still gonna bring crazy rain to FL. GA and SC