2024 Tropical Weather Thread (1 Viewer)

[St. Widge]

It got wet.

Gross.

 

[Nisey55]

gross

Please miss my house, Please miss my house

 

[Dago]

It got wet.

Come seems to be settling in now.

 

[jayd265]

Anxiously waiting at closing for my house in Broussard seeing the storm coming close to it.

 

[HoustonGold]

Cantore in Morgan City . This should be the bullseye

 

[Nisey55]

Cantore in Morgan City . This should be the bullseye

Thank goodness, we're saved.

 

[faceman]

Cantore in Morgan City . This should be the bullseye

The 2pm model runs will be critical. we'll know more then

 

[nolaswede]

10 Am update has it just east of Baton Rouge and a Cat 1!

 

[faceman]

10 Am update has it just east of Baton Rouge and a Cat 1!

Yes, the TVCN is a consensus model the NHC relies heavily on for their official track, Right now
Baton Rogue is the bullseye.

 

[perret318]

Good news is that the sheer gave it a good gut punch and kept it from organizing much until now. Bad news is that it shifted track more toward NOLA. Not excited about being on the east side of the eyewall potentially.

 

[superchuck500]

Center of track is now east of Vermillon Bay, quite a move east from last night.

 

[efil4stnias]

10 Am update has it just east of Baton Rouge and a Cat 1!

The only saving grace is the angle in which this storm will approach- having to spend a longer time over land by time it reaches BR area. Hopefully it stays at Cat 1 range so by time it reaches BR its more of TS strength.

 

[efil4stnias]

Center of track is now east of Vermillon Bay, quite a move east from last night.

the one thing i do see is the immediate NNE move upon landfall.

If that happens even 20 miles sooner, then that track AFTER landfall moves between Laffy and BR ( up Atchafalaya basin essentially )

As usual, final land track will come down to timing of NNE turn relative to the coast.

meh.

 

[Hubig]

I remember IDA jogged east around 50'ish miles right before landfall and that really smacked the crap out of Houma, Kenner, Metairie, New Orleans.

 

[Doug B]

I remember IDA jogged east around 50'ish miles right before landfall and that really smacked the crap out of Houma, Kenner, Metairie, New Orleans.

Yep. I thought we were in good shape for Ida in the Gretna area. But nope.

Honestly ... being within the levee system and with enhanced flood controls put in place over the last 15 years ... the real issue here in the suburbs is extended power outage. There are ALREADY a bunch of bucket trucks out here on the West Bank now. And I don't mean convoying on the highway or all parked together in a staging area. I mean trucks at poles and guys up in the buckets. Maybe doing pre-storm inspections of some kind?