COVID-19 Outbreak (Update: More than 2.9M cases and 132,313 deaths in US) (5 Viewers)

[Taurus]

Actually, the 100-200k is still reasonable within the bell curve.

We have seemingly reached the peak death rate across this country. Some were earlier, some are later. Not sure if we'll have a 1 day peak, but if so, that was yesterday or Monday.

So, we're approximately half way through the bell curve. We still have to go down. So, we're just shy of 48k deaths in the US. So, multiply that by 2, which is 96k dead. That's what we'll probably end up with as new cases slow down, and deaths slow down. That's assuming the down side of the curve is the same as the upside, which it won't be. it will be prolonged and skewed to the right, so we may easily end up with over 100k dead.

That's how you read those bell curve charts. It's not the max.

It's not like this curve just ends with a cliff.

Nooo! We hit the downside! No one will die tomorrow! That's what my sister's cousin's, pastor's mailman says.

 

[AARPSaint]

Dial yellow soap was way worse dude.

Lifebuoy, however, is the worst of all and causes the dreaded soap poisoning. Some soaps have a piquant, after dinner taste with just a touch of mellow smoothness.

 

[mb504]

...

 

[Optimistic Ozzy]

Where did you see that? And without the mitigation, there would be far more.

Look it up. Mitigation is based on future assumptions

 

[PurpleBlack&Gold]

Actually, the 100-200k is still reasonable within the bell curve.

We have seemingly reached the peak death rate across this country. Some were earlier, some are later. Not sure if we'll have a 1 day peak, but if so, that was yesterday or Monday.

So, we're approximately half way through the bell curve. We still have to go down. So, we're just shy of 48k deaths in the US. So, multiply that by 2, which is 96k dead. That's what we'll probably end up with as new cases slow down, and deaths slow down. That's assuming the down side of the curve is the same as the upside, which it won't be. it will be prolonged and skewed to the right, so we may easily end up with over 100k dead.

That's how you read those bell curve charts. It's not the max.

It's not like this curve just ends with a cliff.

It did in China. They suddenly stopped having new cases and deaths. It was amazing!

 

[nolaspe]

...

But wait, there's more stupidity from the mayor...

 

[kat5s]

To validate the use of saliva for SARS-CoV-2 detection, we tested nasopharyngeal and saliva samples from confirmed COVID-19 patients and self-collected samples from healthcare workers on COVID-19 wards. When we compared SARS-CoV-2 detection from patient-matched nasopharyngeal and saliva samples, we found that saliva yielded greater detection sensitivity and consistency throughout the course of infection. Furthermore, we report less variability in self-sample collection of saliva. Taken together, our findings demonstrate that saliva is a viable and more sensitive alternative to nasopharyngeal swabs and could enable at-home self-administered sample collection for accurate large-scale SARS-CoV-2 testing.

If the study can be confirmed, this would be a big help as far as making it easier to do mass testing


"With further validation, widespread use of saliva sampling could be transformative for public health efforts: saliva self-collection circumvents direct healthcare worker-patient interaction, reducing overall risk of infection in hospitals and supply demands on swab kits and PPE. "

Thread:

Saliva is more sensitive for SARS-CoV-2 detection in COVID-19 patients than nasopharyngeal swabs

Rapid and accurate SARS-CoV-2 diagnostic testing is essential for controlling the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. The current gold standard for COVID-19 diagnosis is real-time RT-PCR detection of SARS-CoV-2 from nasopharyngeal swabs. Low sensitivity, exposure risks to healthcare workers, and global...

www.medrxiv.org

 

[Booker]

If the study can be confirmed, this would be a big help as far as making it easier to do mass testing


"With further validation, widespread use of saliva sampling could be transformative for public health efforts: saliva self-collection circumvents direct healthcare worker-patient interaction, reducing overall risk of infection in hospitals and supply demands on swab kits and PPE. "

Thread:

Saliva is more sensitive for SARS-CoV-2 detection in COVID-19 patients than nasopharyngeal swabs

Rapid and accurate SARS-CoV-2 diagnostic testing is essential for controlling the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. The current gold standard for COVID-19 diagnosis is real-time RT-PCR detection of SARS-CoV-2 from nasopharyngeal swabs. Low sensitivity, exposure risks to healthcare workers, and global...

www.medrxiv.org

Spitting in a cup beats the hell out of having to stick one of those swabs through your nose to the back of your throat.

 

[efil4stnias]

But wait, there's more stupidity from the mayor...

i find this all too often...give someone enough rope and they will eventually hang themselves.

its utterly amazing.

 

[Taurus]

But wait, there's more stupidity from the mayor...

Being the mayor of a large city pays pretty well. Why doesn't she just bebop on up to New York and visit a hospital or two? Have a chat with a few doctors on what 'being alarmist' really looks like.

 

[efil4stnias]

Beats the hell out of having to stick one of those swabs through your nose to the back of your throat.

they no longer go that far. Per my Tulane buddy, too much mucus results in too much...well sample lol.

So they found 1-1.5 inches into nasal passage works best

This was about 2 weeks ago.

 

[Dan in Lafayette]

Marques Colston trying to do his part.

 

[kat5s]

 

[Loose Cannon]

like I stated at the beginning....Congress did not structure this bill to do what they told us it was going to do

there is only 2 possibilities....they either did it on purpose or, even with the army of lawyers and advisors available, or they did it on accident. I don't read minds and really it doesn't matter. Either way it means they are not fit for office (in general...I am sure there are some exceptions. maybe.)

these bastages have lived posh lifestyles off our tax dollars and whatever gifts/kickbacks they can get playing their little power games and when a crisis came up and we needed them to do the job they are there to do they failed. No ifs, ands, or buts

We live in an oligarchy. We bail out billionaires every time there's a crisis while the general population gets crumbs. The only way to change that is to vote people into office who will not continue that trend. It's up to each person to decide what that means to them.

 

[SoggyBottomBoy]

I should have clarified. I expect some cities/counties to require restaurants and bars to reduce their occupancy by 25-33%. So if you have an approved occupancy of 96 prior to CV-19, you will be required to limit occupants to no more than 24-32 during the early stages of reopening.

The restaurants with tables outside under sun umbrellas and such will be more appealing for me in the future.