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Andy Reid had never won a Super bowl before the Chiefs.
Belichick had never won a Super bowl before the Patriots.
That's not the same.
And you're ignoring that one of the people from your example, only got one sniff at head coach last year. Nothing I said was inaccurate. Show me a former Super Bowl winning coach who has rebuilt another team into a Super Bowl winner. I want the Saints to contend for Super Bowls, not be good enough to be competitive.
McCarthy wouldn't be horrible, but I'd prefer the odds if we give a new coach a try. Could it fail? Yes, but at least the Saints will have tried something that has a track record of success versus something that doesn't. And again, hoping that a former Super Bowl winning head coach over the age of 60 gets his third different team to the big game doesn't have a history of success. Young, motivated new coaches does though.
I just don’t think the sample size is big enough. Winning Super Bowls is difficult for everyone. To single out one small subset of coaches (the rare few that have won one and then later went to another teams) and to damn them all as incapable of winning merely because of age seems silly to me.
Everyone from all walks of coaching life fails at this.