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Dude that war was a draw at best. We wanted to take Canada and to stop impressment. So we attacked the Brits when 99% of their effort was against Napoleon. They burned our capital. We failed to take Canada. Brits stopped impressment as soon as they beat Napoleon. Then we signed a peace treaty. Then we fought at New Orleans. The only significance of that battle is that we get to call 1812 a draw instead of a loss.... our own 1814 war with England was about.
We shouldn't have won that war, but we did.
Sorry for non-Ukraine rant. You are right to draw an analogy but I think it is a little different. If the present counter-offensive fails and they sign a Korea-style cease-fire, folks may call it a "draw" but would still be a "win" for Ukraine based on how it looked in February 2022 and it would still be a "loss" for Russia.
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