COVID-19 Outbreak (Update: More than 2.9M cases and 132,313 deaths in US) (6 Viewers)

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Saw this posted on FB by someone today.

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Thoughts?

Well, they are right about the goal, but nobody ever said it would take "two weeks, three tops." And in some places, maybe many, we haven't reached the point where we can be confident that we will not overload the health care system. Some places we probably have and we can probably start to loosen restrictions slowly. But, nobody ever said that this would be a short term thing. In fact, the message was pretty clear that this was a very long term problem that would require some amount of social distancing even beyond however long stay at home orders had to remain in place.
 
Saw this posted on FB by someone today.

95117499_3880859355320162_5509590524119482368_n.jpg

Thoughts?

where was it said "until theres a vaccine"?

I havent heard a single person say that we should continue stay at home orders until a vaccine.

but im not following as close as i once did ( mental sanity in tact so far lol )
 
Orleans Parish reported 12 new cases yesterday. My May 1 prediction for zero new cases is looking close to target.
 
Saw this posted on FB by someone today.

95117499_3880859355320162_5509590524119482368_n.jpg

Thoughts?

The goal posts haven't moved. We wait until there is a significant enough drop in cases over time that a future spike in cases can be managed without overwhelming hospitals. Some places meet that criteria and beginning to open up. It's the ones who don't meet that criteria and are opening up anyway that could become a real problem.

No one here, or anywhere else that I'm aware of has suggested a lockdown until a vaccine is developed.
 
The goal posts haven't moved. We wait until there is a significant enough drop in cases over time that a future spike in cases can be managed without overwhelming hospitals. Some places meet that criteria and beginning to open up. It's the ones who don't meet that criteria and are opening up anyway that could become a real problem.

No one here, or anywhere else that I'm aware of has suggested a lockdown until a vaccine is developed.

Yeah, and the question becomes when have we really reached that point? I really thought that the LA Governor was going to say we were there yesterday, but he surprised most people by saying that the numbers don't reflect that state wide and that we still can't test enough to meet the threshold for starting Phase 1. I suspected the lack of testing was going to be an issue, but I didn't not think that the number of cases would be an issue since LA has been on a steep decline for weeks. But, apparently there were two regions of the state that had either hit a plateau but not declined or had not even hit the plateau so he kept us closed. So, I guess it's all in how you look at the numbers. Do you look at the state as a whole or do you look at each region of the state and require them all to be in decline for two weeks? Much like to you look at the country as a whole or do you look at specific regions.

I don't really know the answer. I suspect this was more about just giving it another two weeks to be as safe as possible, but I don't have access to the all the information and experts that the Governor does. And, in the end although we work under a federal system with each state, parish, county, city having it's own governments, it's not like the virus knows or cares anything about political subdivisions. Those lines don't exist to a virus.
 
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where was it said "until theres a vaccine"?

I havent heard a single person say that we should continue stay at home orders until a vaccine.

but im not following as close as i once did ( mental sanity in tact so far lol )

Yeah, no one is saying that. I've read that on average vaccines take up to 4 years, or longer, to go through the stages of development. That comment is purely sensationalism meant to rile up the uninformed reader.
 
LaToya isn't budging despite Orleans having knocked down the virus more than any other region in LA.

I think the attacks on her over Mardi Gras have convinced her she's not opening squat for as long as possible no matter what the situation is here.

Would've been nice to get outside tables opened again along with some curbside stores. I will save the rest of my rant to keep politics out of the thread....


As soon as NO opens it becomes a destination for the neighboring areas who still have rising numbers
 
As soon as NO opens it becomes a destination for the neighboring areas who still have rising numbers

I think so. As soon as NO opens for business, people undoubtedly will make the trip for myriad reasons. I just hope the city will be well prepared for the uptick when they do start trying to return to semi-normal.
 
As soon as NO opens it becomes a destination for the neighboring areas who still have rising numbers

I dunno - my contacts in North Louisiana assure me that 'cotdam New Orleans' is the reason the Governor's stay at home order is still in effect and have no desire to come here...
 

“Only” about a 200 new cases in LA. Slowly getting better, just curious how many are actually getting tested. However, if there are fewer patients in the hospitals that can’t be a bad thing.

I understand that Ochner on Bluebonnet in Baton Rouge has gotten back to doing regular, elective surgeries and the formally closed General in mid city is open for Covid-19 and it is being run by the Navy now
 
My parents bought something but realized it was too big for their car. They called me to bring mine to load it. I saw no masks on most employees and customers. This was at the Lowes on vets, parking lot full to the brim. About 20mins ago.

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That's clearly where this needs to go . . . which means they'll starting talking about it seriously in July or August.

It's available. The hospitals are using it to test their employees. It was a same day result. The problem is that no one trusts it. Your body takes a while to develop the antibodies apparently, and if you don't really get sick you don't really show them. We know my wife has been exposed numerous times. We think my daughter has even had it. My wife tested negative for antibodies. It's not completely useless information of course. It's just incomplete.


Saw this posted on FB by someone today.

95117499_3880859355320162_5509590524119482368_n.jpg

Thoughts?

Some variant of this is the truth.

Flattening the curve was always about making sure we could handle the rate of illness. It's not supposed to make everyone safe. The goal posts have definitely been moved as evidenced by the Stay Home Save Lives yard signs all over the neutral ground. That was never really the point of staying home.

The only way forward with this thing is through it. It has to run its course and it may already have largely done that.
 
As soon as NO opens it becomes a destination for the neighboring areas who still have rising numbers

Kidding aside, this is probably true but that will be the case no matter when we re-open.

"People will come to New Orleans" is not a reason not to re-open New Orleans if we have zero cases, adequate testing, and available medical resources.
 
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